Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.305693 0.411818 0.529220 0.666459 0.820463 0.986205 1.176424
2025-04-20 0.173120 0.311365 0.484228 0.704658 0.968979 1.268327 1.626356
2025-04-27 0.115909 0.266014 0.471820 0.749308 1.094960 1.497118 1.988072
2025-05-04 0.085934 0.247097 0.485792 0.821252 1.250268 1.758370 2.386800
2025-05-11 0.058237 0.220283 0.481466 0.863804 1.364853 1.967747 2.721921
2025-05-18 0.032645 0.184290 0.456418 0.873437 1.434201 2.119929 2.987436
2025-05-25 0.009420 0.130862 0.393013 0.822146 1.419407 2.164994 3.121533
2025-06-01 0.000359 0.086917 0.332792 0.766975 1.393397 2.191601 3.229573
2025-06-08 NaN 0.061389 0.297828 0.744176 1.407030 2.265075 3.392188
2025-06-15 NaN 0.050251 0.289262 0.760879 1.473880 2.405589 3.636750
2025-06-22 NaN 0.035664 0.266863 0.752226 1.503411 2.496904 3.819531
2025-06-29 NaN 0.021969 0.238760 0.730349 1.511866 2.559344 3.965191
2025-07-06 NaN 0.019208 0.244653 0.771036 1.615911 2.753568 4.284703
2025-07-13 NaN 0.016684 0.250576 0.812375 1.722217 2.952625 4.612837
2025-07-20 NaN 0.015356 0.260339 0.860416 1.838126 3.164100 4.956300
2025-07-27 NaN 0.017591 0.285629 0.937691 1.997876 3.434278 5.374593
2025-08-03 NaN 0.016024 0.294004 0.983285 2.110498 3.641896 5.713886
2025-08-10 NaN 0.011097 0.284063 0.993597 2.170054 3.778662 5.963360
2025-08-17 NaN 0.003179 0.242256 0.938648 2.129124 3.779556 6.039096
2025-08-24 NaN 0.000067 0.201590 0.879419 2.077988 3.764212 6.092097
2025-08-31 NaN NaN 0.179436 0.854903 2.078369 3.817046 6.230888
2025-09-07 NaN NaN 0.176775 0.872866 2.145723 3.961653 6.488186
2025-09-14 NaN NaN 0.162874 0.863561 2.168759 4.044767 6.665598